Publications

 

“Additional Evidence of Long Run Purchasing Power Parity with Restricted Structural Change” with David Papell, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 38, 1329-1349.

 

“The Uncertain Unit Root in U.S. Real GDP: Evidence with Restricted and Unrestricted Structural Change” with David  Papell,  Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, June 2004, vol. 36, No. 3

 

      “Potential Pitfalls in Determining Multiple Structural Changes with an Application to

      Purchasing Power Parity,” Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, January 2008, volume 26, 50-65.

 

“Forecasting Persistent Data with Possible Structural Breaks: Old School and New School Lessons Using OECD Unemployment Rates” with Walt Enders, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization, June 2008, volume 4, Elsevier

 

 

 “Restricted Structural Change and the Unit Root Hypothesis" with David Papell, Economic Inquiry, October 2007, Vol. 45, 834-853.

    

 “Forecasting Transnational Terrorism and other Series with an Unknown Number of Structural Breaks” with Walter Enders and Yu Liu, forthcoming in the Defense & Peace Economics

 

 

   Working papers

 

      “Toward a solution to the interest rate parity puzzle” (With George Davis and  Norman Miller)

 

       “New evidence of exchange rates predictability using the long swings model” (with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy)

 

       "Time series tests of the Solow growth model" with David Papell

 

 Work in progress

 

    “Comparative performance of out-of-sample predictability tests with nonlinear models ,” (with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy and Yu Liu)