ECON 6394: Topics in Applied Econometrics

Spring 2006 Tuesdays and Thursdays 10-11:30am (McElhinney Building, Room 212)

Course Syllabus

 

 

Professor Aimee Chin

University of Houston Department of Economics

office hours: Fridays 1:00-3:00pm in McElhinney 202B.  Meeting at any other time requires an appointment, which must be arranged at least one day in advance via e-mail (achin@uh.edu) or phone (713-743-3761).

course homepage: http://www.uh.edu/~achin/courses for announcements and assignments

 

Course Description

The purpose of this course is to expose students to some econometric techniques frequently used in applied microeconomic research.  The course features critical reading of empirical research papers and the implementation of econometric methods on actual data sets.

 

Requirements and Grading

1)  6 Problem Sets

Approximately every 1-2 weeks

60%

2)  In-class Exam 

Tuesday April 18

20%

3)  Student Presentation

Last weeks of the semester

10%

4)  Class Participation

Combination of attendance and quality of classroom comments

10%

 

Problem Sets: For the data exercises, we will use Stata.  Students are encouraged to work together on problem sets.  However, each student must write up his/her own problem set.  No copies will be accepted, and this includes programs. 

 

Student Presentation: Each student will lead a discussion of an empirical paper in class.  Papers will be assigned and written instructions for the presentation will be provided before Spring break.

 

In-Class Exam: There will be a closed-book exam during our class meeting on April 18 covering all the materials of Part I and Part II of the course.

 

Prerequisites

Students must have completed ECON 7331 (Econometrics I).

 

Readings

There is no required textbook for this course.  Two recommended textbooks are:

 

Wooldridge, Jeffrey, Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2002.

Shadish, William R., Thomas D. Cook and Donald T. Campbell, Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference, Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin, 2002.

Readings associated with each lecture are given in the following course schedule.  Students are expected to complete the readings in advance of the lecture.


Course Schedule (subject to change)

 

Part I.  Some Basics

 

Lecture 1.  Introduction and review of OLS (1/17)

Wooldridge, Chapters 1-4

or Greene Econometric Analysis 5th edition, Chapters 1-6 & Appendices C and D

 

Lecture 2.  Why the OLS estimator may be inconsistent (1/19)

Wooldridge, Chapters 1-4

or Greene, Chapters 1-6 & Appendices C and D

 

Lecture 3.  Some panel data models (1/24, 1/26)

Wooldridge, Chapter 10

or Greene, Chapter 13

 

Lecture 4.  Some discrete response models (1/31, 2/2)

Wooldridge, Chapter 15

or Greene, Chapter 21

 

Part II.  Program Evaluation and Causal Inference

 

Wooldridge, Chapter 18

Shadish, Cook and Campbell

 

Lecture 5.  The Evaluation Problem (2/7)

Holland, Paul W. (1986), “Statistics and Causal Inference,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 81: 945-970 (pages include discussion).  (JSTOR)

Angrist, Joshua D. and Alan B. Krueger (1999), “Empirical Strategies in Labor Economics,” Handbook of Labor Economics, Volume 3, Ashenfelter, A. and D. Card, eds., Amsterdam: Elsevier Science.

Lecture 6.  Randomized Experiments (2/9, 2/14, 2/16)

Burtless, G. (1995), “The Case for Randomized Field Trials in Economic and Policy Research,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(2):63-84.  (JSTOR)

Woodbury, Stephen A. and Robert G. Spiegelman (1987), “Bonuses to Workers and Employers to Reduce Unemployment: Randomized Trials in Illinois," American Economic Review, 77(4):513-530.  (JSTOR)

Meyer, Bruce D. (1995), “Lessons from the U.S. Unemployment Insurance Experiments,” Journal of Economic Literature, 33(1):91-131.  (JSTOR)

Krueger, Alan B. (1999), “Experimental Estimates of Educational Production Functions,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(2):497.  (JSTOR)

Angrist, Joshua, Eric Bettinger, Eric Bloom, Elizabeth King and Michael Kremer (2002),” American Economic Review, 92(5):1535-1558.  Go through UH Libraries Individual Journals, find AER, select a full text option like EBSCO)

 

Sacerdote, Bruce (2001), “Peer Effects with Random Assignment: Results for Dartmouth Roommates,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(2):681-704.  (Go through UH Libraries Individual Journals, find QJE, select a full text option like EBSCO)

 

Miguel, Edward and Michael Kremer (2004), “Worms: Identifying impacts on education and health in the presence of treatment externalities,” Econometrica 72: 159-217. 

URL: http://emlab.berkeley.edu/users/emiguel/miguel_worms.pdf

 

Lecture 7.  Controlling for Confounding Variables (Regression, Matching) (2/21, 2/23, 2/28)

Rosenbaum, Paul R., and Donald B. Rubin (1983), “The Central Role of the Propensity Score in Observational Studies for Causal Effects,” Biometrika, 70(1): 41-55.

Angrist, Joshua D. (1998), “Estimating the Labor Market Impact of Voluntary Military Service Using Social Security Data on Military Applicants,” Econometrica 66(2):249-288.

Heckman, James J., Hidehiko Ichimura and Petra Todd (1997), “Matching as an Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme,” Review of Economic Studies 64(4):605-654.

Ashenfelter, Orley and David Card (1985), “Using the Longitudinal Structure of Earnings to Estimate the Effect of Training Programs,” Review of Economics and Statistics 67(4):648-660.

Lalonde, Robert J. (1986), “Evaluating the Econometric Evaluations of Training Programs Using Experimental Data,” American Economic Review 76(4):604-620.

Dehejia, Rajeev H. and Sadek Wahba (1999), “Causal Effects in Nonexperimental Studies: Reevaluating the Evaluation of Training Programs,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94:1053-1062.

Krueger, Alan and Orley Ashenfelter (1994), “Estimates of the Economic Return to Schooling from a New Sample of Twins,” American Economic Review 84(5):1157-1173.

Currie, Janet and Duncan Thomas, “Does Head Start Make a Difference?,American Economic Review 85(3):341-364.

Lecture 8.  Difference-in-Differences Strategies (3/2, 3/7, 3/9)

Meyer, Bruce D. (1995), “Natural and quasi-experiments in economics,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13(2):151-161.

 

Rosenzweig, Mark R. and Kenneth I. Wolpin (2000), “Natural ‘Natural Experiments’ in Economics, Journal of Economic Literature, 38:827-874.

Meyer, Bruce D., W. Kip Viscusi and David L. Durbin (1995), “Worker’s Compensation and Injury Duration: Evidence from a Natural Experiment,” American Economic Review, 85(3):322-340.  (JSTOR)

Dynarski, Susan M. (2003), “Does Aid Matter?  Measuring the Effect of Student Aid on College Attendance and Completion,” American Economic Review, 93(1):279-288.  (JSTOR)

Duflo, Esther (2001), “Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: evidence from an unusual policy experiment,” American Economic Review 91: 795-813.  (JSTOR)

Friedberg, Leora (1998), "Did Unilateral Divorce Raise Divorce Rates?  Evidence from Panel Data," American Economic Review, 88(3):608-627.  (JSTOR)


Lecture 9.  Instrumental Variables Estimation (3/21, 3/23, 3/28)

 

Wooldridge, Chapter 5

Angrist, Joshua D., Guido W. Imbens and Donald B. Rubin (1996), “Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91(434):444-455.  (JSTOR)

Guido W. Imbens and Joshua D. Angrist (1994), “Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects,” Econometrica, 62(2):467-475.  (JSTOR)

Heckman, James, “Instrumental Variables: A Study of Implicit Behavioral Assumptions Used in Making Program Evaluations,” Journal of Human Resources, 32(3):441-462.  (A reply from Angrist and Imbens immediately follows the article) (JSTOR) 

Angrist, Joshua D. and Alan B. Krueger (2001), “Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 13(2):69-85.  (Use http://www.nber.org/papers/w8456)

Angrist, Joshua D. (1990), “Lifetime Earnings and the Vietnam Era Draft Lottery: Evidence from Social Security Administrative Records,” American Economic Review, 80:313-336.  (Note Errata in December 1990 issue) (JSTOR)

McClellan, Mark, Barbara J. McNeil and Joseph P. Newhouse (1994), “Does More Intensive Treatment of Acute Myocardial Infarction in the Elderly Reduce Mortality?,Journal of the American Medical Association 272(11):859-866.

 

Bleakley, C. Hoyt and Aimee Chin (2004), “Language Skills and Earnings: Evidence from Childhood Immigrants,” Review of Economics and Statistics 86(2):481-496.

 

Lecture 10.  Regression Discontinuity Design (3/30, 4/4)

 

Campbell, Donald T. (1969), “Reforms as experiments,” American Psychologist, 24: 407-429.

Hahn, Jinyong, Petra Todd and Wilbert van der Klaauw (2001), “Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design,” Econometrica, 69(1):201-209. (JSTOR)

Angrist, Joshua D. and Victor Lavy (1999), “Using Maimonides’ Rule to Estimate the Effect of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114:533-575. (JSTOR)

Part III.  Additional Topics

 

Some possible topics include sample selection, kernel estimation and quantile regression.  Readings for these lectures will be provided later in the semester.

 

Part IV.  Student presentations