HOUSTON’S RECOVERY GAINS MOMENTUM,
BUT NOT ALL GOOD NEWS
FOR AREA REAL ESTATE, SAYS UH’S BARTON SMITH DURING SYMPOSIUM
Houston’s economy has begun to show signs of growth with
seasonally adjusted job gains since the end of last summer approaching
25,000. “This is coming in tandem with the growing strength
of the national recovery that is just now starting to create new
jobs,” says Barton Smith, University of Houston director of
the Institute for Regional Forecasting (IRF).
With energy prices high and the region’s upstream energy
economy beginning to come out of the doldrums, it now seems possible
that Houston will not follow the pattern of the early ‘90s
recession when the local recovery trailed the national recovery
for almost three years? “As we indicated last fall, whether
Houston under or out performs the national economy this year depends
upon the direction Houston’s upstream energy sector takes
and the fact that energy prices held up over the winter enhances
the prospects for growth from that sector over the rest of this
year.”
Smith will host “Playing the Waiting Game: The Different
Perspectives of Residential and Commercial Property Interests”
May 6 at the Hyatt Regency Hotel Downtown, 1200 Louisiana. During
that symposium, the economics professor will carefully document
the progress the region has made on the road to recovery, the remaining
risks to this young economic expansion, and the implications it
has to area real estate markets. In addition to providing updates
of the IRF’s 5-year and 25-year forecasts, he will present
forecasts for new demand and new supply of each of the region’s
primary real estate markets and the subsequent vacancy rates those
forecasts imply. “With the exception of the single family
residential market, all real estate markets are experiencing some
degree of difficulty and higher than normal vacancy rates,”
Smith declares, but he points out that each market’s problems
are unique as well as the time it will take for each to fully recover.
Smith has conducted numerous studies in urban, housing, transportation,
and environmental economics. During the past 15 years, he has gained
national and local recognition for his analyses of the Houston economy
and real estate markets. Smith wrote “Handbook on the Houston
Economy” and continues to publish two symposium reports a
year on Houston’s economy and real estate markets.
Prior to his presentation, Smith will be available for media interviews
from 10:30 a.m. to 11:15 a.m.
ABOUT THE EVENT:
WHAT: |
“Playing the Waiting Game: The Different
Perspectives of Residential and Commercial Property Interests” |
WHO: |
Barton Smith, UH professor of economics and director of the
UH Institute for Regional Forecasting |
WHEN: |
Thursday, May 6, 2004
Media availability: 10:30 a.m. to 11:15 a.m.
Luncheon: 11:45 a.m. to 12:20 p.m.
Presentation: 12:20 p.m. to 1:30 p.m. |
WHERE: |
Imperial Ballroom, Hyatt Regency Hotel Downtown, 1200 Louisiana |
For more information about UH visit the universitys Newsroom at www.uh.edu/admin/media/newsroom.
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